We are dedicated to pursuing ideas and innovation to capture investment opportunities that are overlooked, misanalysed, or simply lie beyond the scope of conventional financial analysis. Over time, pools of unresolved factors develop in these analytical blind spots. Free to bubble beneath the market’s radar for a time, they leave few traces in conventional risk metrics such as VAR, scenario analysis, and extreme value modelling. These unresolved factors are destined to pop-up somewhere, surprise investors, and trigger price asymmetries which include unanticipated stock/sector revaluations, yield curve shifts, and volatility spikes.All of which represent deep pools of alpha for those ahead of the game, and our long-term track record is based upon capturing them.
Path to answers you can invest in
1.CONTACT Tell us about your portfolio and objectives
2. CONSULT We’ll set up a partner to talk with you
3. TAKE ACTIONRe-enter the market with knowledge and a plan
Focus is on beating European equity and bond benchmarks
Obtain a reliable roadmap to impending opportunities and risks.Receive detailed investment cases to capture asymmetric price returns hiding beneath the radar of conventional forecasting techniques. Our tools and investment strategies are designed to give you a valuable advantage in information and time.
Protect from consensus traps
Investment insights used by the most successful hedge funds
Create a more robust portfolio with forecasts that look over the horizon of rigid and outdated valuation methods. Complimentary to bottom-up investing, we have adapted CAPM, Equity risk premia evaluation, and other CFA techniques to zero-interest-rate environments. Easy to overlay onto your existing investment strategy, they support informed plans of action.
Frontier EconomicsAnalysis & Forecasts•Central Bank vs Fiscal Policy•Behavioural zero-r* modelling•Real Rate Forecasts •Supply Chain Dynamics•Kinked Philips Curves•When PMIs are prone to mislead
Market ReportsDrivers & Misconceptions•R-star effect on CAPM•Productivity misconceptions•Value/Growth - No conundrum•Trade tensions at ZLB•Behavioral shifts at low r-star•Pitfalls in conventional finance•Gold misunderstandings
Goal & Risk Management•Benchmark Settings at the ZLB•Investment Frameworks•Risk Management•Shock/Crisis Mitigation•Factor Asset Class Analysis